Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 1.943914 2.248254 2.582715 2.977296 3.429845 3.932420 4.532687
2025-03-16 1.463966 1.847524 2.305026 2.890031 3.617341 4.490977 5.619312
2025-03-23 1.239233 1.687584 2.261843 3.049156 4.098356 5.446194 7.306980
2025-03-30 1.049660 1.530866 2.187909 3.146678 4.505823 6.358874 9.072204
2025-04-06 0.878276 1.363830 2.066633 3.151983 4.779079 7.119658 10.732882
2025-04-13 0.704347 1.159736 1.855680 2.988516 4.776952 7.479890 11.860066
2025-04-20 0.625165 1.085303 1.823787 3.084065 5.167980 8.459354 14.028493
2025-04-27 0.571720 1.042246 1.832251 3.240330 5.669508 9.663701 16.693208
2025-05-04 0.512532 0.978689 1.795496 3.312305 6.035614 10.685699 19.176562
2025-05-11 0.457006 0.911979 1.742129 3.344727 6.332470 11.618522 21.610228
2025-05-18 0.393930 0.820527 1.630095 3.252801 6.390038 12.133696 23.357208
2025-05-25 0.333638 0.724470 1.494949 3.096450 6.303166 12.370367 24.610448
2025-06-01 0.298879 0.676210 1.448503 3.112154 6.559818 13.296210 27.316303
2025-06-08 0.259606 0.611938 1.360519 3.031370 6.613999 13.840451 29.350148
2025-06-15 0.247312 0.605129 1.391609 3.204483 7.213325 15.535073 33.897213
2025-06-22 0.230640 0.585503 1.392003 3.310785 7.684043 17.020993 38.188370
2025-06-29 0.208786 0.549856 1.351236 3.318738 7.939472 18.082923 41.701728
2025-07-06 0.178405 0.487915 1.240393 3.148260 7.768218 18.201451 43.164913
2025-07-13 0.167741 0.474504 1.243381 3.249567 8.241679 19.802487 48.138846
2025-07-20 0.161306 0.471200 1.270733 3.414439 8.887972 21.868410 54.416196
2025-07-27 0.150863 0.455166 1.263430 3.490462 9.325243 23.494641 59.838778
2025-08-03 0.139513 0.434619 1.241325 3.524756 9.661304 24.915623 64.924622
2025-08-10 0.123978 0.399148 1.173879 3.428160 9.645842 25.474603 67.944279